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This fixture can be watched for free on LaLiga Smartbank’s YouTube channel here.

  • 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Ponferradina have seen under 2.5 goals in 81% of their home matches.
  • All of Elche’s away losses have been either 1-0 or 2-0.

Games between these two sides haven’t exactly been thrilling over the years. The last 10 meetings have seen under 2.5 goals land on nine occasions, with a repeat likely here. The hosts are in fine form at home, with the fourth best home record across the league. However, on their way to losing just once in 16 home games Ponferradina have seen only three with over 2.5 goals scored.

Elche are in a similar sitation, with 69% of their away trips finishing with fewer than three goals scored. That includes all of their away defeats so far. Ponferradina have been excellent at keeping clean sheets, conceding only 10 goals at home this season. That’s encouraging against an Elche side who have lost five of the six away games in which they’ve failed to score.

We’re starting our predictions here with Ponferradina to win and under 2.5 goals to be scored. There’s a clear record for low scoring games between the two, while adding under 2.5 goals along with a home win for one of the strongest home sides in the division gives extra value. The fact that all of Elche’s away losses have been low-scoring affairs adds to that, so we’re also backing them to lose 1-0 on the road for the fourth time this term.

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